Hospitalization Data for Texas – October 12, 2020

An update of hospitalization data in Texas. The data source is Texas Department of Health Services and the data is as of Oct. 12, 2020.

The downward movement of the total number of hospitalizations had stopped approximately three weeks ago and started to go up again after that. It’s still going up:

Fig. 1 – Total hospitalizations in Texas Apr 12, 2020 – Oct 12, 2020

Let’s see whether this is a rise across all TSAs or whether there are local differences.
The three main contributing TSAs in terms of number of hospitalizations are still E- Dallas/Fort Worth, P – San Antonio and Q – Houston.
Houston after going down has leveled off. San Antonio also has leveled off too, but Dallas/Fort Worth is rising:

Fig. 2 – Hospitalizations in TSAs E, P, Q Apr 12, 2020 – Oct 12, 2020

So we might want to conclude that the increase in hospitalizations seems to be due to local increases.
Let’s look at the other TSAs, where previously, V- Lower Rio Grande Valley was the main contributor.

Fig. 3 – Hospitalizations in all TSAs except E, P, Q Apr 12, 2020 – Oct 12, 2020

V – Lower Rio Grande Valley continues to go down, but now I – El Paso and A – Amarillo are coming up with El Paso now having more hospitalizations than Lower Rio Grande Valley. Other are stable – with some fluctuations up or down.

This shows the same image as above: The increase in hospitalizations looks like it is local in three to four TSAs.

These were the absolute numbers of COVID19 hospitalizations, but how do these compare to the hospital capacity over time?

Fig. 3 – COVID19 hospitalizations compared to hospital capacity Apr 12, 2020 – Oct 12, 2020

It’s now slightly above 5%, at its peak it was slightly below 20%.